The
consensus among economists and the wider public is clear: the remarkable ascent
of Medway's property prices over the previous twelve years has reached its peak
and is now starting to drift downwards.
Major
national publications splash headlines filled with pessimism about the UK
housing market, citing issues such as buyer affordability caused by challenges
with average salary growth not keeping up with inflation, higher interest rates
also hitting buyer affordability, and the hangover of the pandemic making
recruiting people hard work. However, these gloomy projections don't seem to
resonate with the fact that Medway's property market activity in the past year closely
mirrors that of 2017/18/19.
This divergence might hint
at the age-old notion:
'bad news sells newspapers'.
To
provide a clearer picture, let's delve deeper into Medway's property market
nuances, focusing on the demographics
of movers and their motivations.
During the past year most of the property sales in Medway
during the last year were terraced properties, selling for an average price of
£276,720. Semi-detached properties sold for an average of £349,100, with
detached properties fetching £516,850.
A closer look at Medway's homeowner sector in the last
12 months of housing data reveals the following...
·
557 Medway households moved within the same
ownership sector, implying they sold their home to purchase another.
·
131 Medway households ended and exited home
ownership (i.e., moved in with family, moved to a care home or sadly passed
away).
·
140 Medway households shifted from owning to
private renting.
·
12 Medway households moved from home
ownership to social housing (i.e., Council Housing or Housing Association).
·
296 Medway households shifted from private
renting to homeownership.
·
301 new Medway homeowner households emerged,
transitioning from residing with family or friends to buying their first
property without experiencing the private rental sector.
Despite the relentless doom and gloom
portrayed in the media about the property market, it's heartening to witness a
robust influx of Medway first-time buyers securing their own homes.
Remarkably, 301 of these
newcomers have moved from family or friends into homeownership, showcasing the
enduring spirit of people wanting to buy their home. Additionally, 296 households have
transitioned from the private rented sector, demonstrating a genuine aspiration
among tenants to achieve homeownership.
This trend underscores the resilience and
adaptability of aspiring homeowners amidst challenging times.
But what does this data
spell out for Medway's buy-to-let landlords?
On the
surface, with 296 households moving from
private rentals to homeownership and 140 moving the other way, there seems to be a slight contraction
in the private sector.
Yet,
what I don’t mention is the number of new rental households. I do not have the Medway
statistics for those yet, but we can look to the national statistics.
Whilst
the number of British landlords, according to capital gains tax receipts,
selling up has increased by around 45% in the last year compared to
pre-pandemic levels, the number of landlords buying buy-to-let is only 19%
down.
There
are new rental properties being created, whilst at lower than previous years,
it is still growing nationally by 177,000 households a year.
So where are the
opportunities for Medway landlords?
A golden
opportunity for Medway's property investors lies in the 131 properties that went up for sale last year due to owners
passing.
Often,
these homes, maintained over several decades by older owners, feature
high-capital improvements like double-glazing or central heating. However, they
might lack contemporary aesthetics, having outdated decor or out-of-style
fixtures from the 1980s.
Such
properties often come at lower prices because many buyers overlook their
potential due to dated appearances. A smart investment in renovations could
lead to handsome profits on resale.
It's
imperative to put things in perspective. Regardless of global events - whether
it's post Brexit, post Pandemic, potential political shifts in the US or China,
interest rates or stock market dynamics - Medway's property market remains
robust in the mid to long-term framework.
Even as
we witness minor value corrections in the upcoming 12 to 18 months, history has
shown that property prices bounce back, often with greater momentum.
This
underscores the timeless advice to those venturing into the property market, be
it first-time buyers, landlords, or homeowners: property is a marathon, not a
sprint.
Commitment
to the long haul invariably yields rewards, a philosophy that can be applied
universally don’t you think?

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